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Which of these African leaders will leave office next? — Before 2035
Starts:Feb 6, 2025, 3:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2035, 3:00 PM
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Total volume
$24.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
10
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bola Tinubu Favorite | 23.0%Kalshi | $2.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Cyril Ramaphosa | 16.0%Kalshi | $2.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
John Mahama | 7.0%Kalshi | $233 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
William Ruto | 9.0%Kalshi | $2.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi | 8.6%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Abdelmadjid Tebboune | 8.0%Kalshi | $332 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Félix Tshisekedi | 7.0%Kalshi | $10.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Paul Kagame | 6.0%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Taye Atske Selassie | 6.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Emmerson Mnangagwa | 3.0%Kalshi | $2.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bola TinubuFavorite
23.0%Best · Kalshi$2.8K
Cyril Ramaphosa
16.0%Best · Kalshi$2.3K
John Mahama
7.0%Best · Kalshi$233
William Ruto
9.0%Best · Kalshi$2.2K
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
8.6%Best · Kalshi$1.1K
Abdelmadjid Tebboune
8.0%Best · Kalshi$332
Félix Tshisekedi
7.0%Best · Kalshi$10.5K
Paul Kagame
6.0%Best · Kalshi$1.8K
Taye Atske Selassie
6.0%Best · Kalshi$1.0K
Emmerson Mnangagwa
3.0%Best · Kalshi$2.3K
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
An announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.
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