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Which party will win the next UK general election?
Starts:Mar 4, 2026, 5:51 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2031, 12:00 AM
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Total volume
$43.1K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
6
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Labour Party Favorite | 39.0%Gemini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Reform Party | 32.0%Gemini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Conservative Party | 29.0%Gemini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Restore Britain Party | 8.0%Gemini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Liberal Democratic Party | 3.0%Gemini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Labour PartyFavorite
39.0%Best · Gemini
Reform Party
32.0%Best · Gemini
Conservative Party
29.0%Best · Gemini
Restore Britain Party
8.0%Best · Gemini
Liberal Democratic Party
3.0%Best · Gemini
Description from Gemini. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes. If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes. Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons. This event is mutually exclusive.
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