Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026? — On Nov 3, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota Favorite | 91.0%Kalshi | $3.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Michigan | 81.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Arizona | 71.0%Kalshi | $3.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pennsylvania | 61.0%Kalshi | $793 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nevada | 51.0%Kalshi | $400 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Each state market requires the Democratic candidate to win the 2026 election for Governor and the Democratic Party to win the most seats in both chambers of that state's legislature. Each chamber is decided by its full membership after the November 3, 2026 general election, including members whose seats were not on the 2026 ballot. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
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