Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Healey | 17.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Miatta Fahnbulleh | 12.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Angela Eagle | 10.0%Kalshi | $2.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lucy Powell | 10.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Heidi Alexander | 9.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lisa Nandy | 8.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alan Campbell | 7.0%Kalshi | $3.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
A member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. A change of portfolio or position within the Cabinet alone does not count. If two or more members leave on the same calendar date and the Source Agencies do not establish a clear chronological order, the tied member markets settle according to the Contract's split-settlement provisions. If no eligible member leaves during the specified period, all member markets resolve to No. A temporary absence or leave where the member is expected to resume their Cabinet position does not count. Speculative or unconfirmed reports of a departure do not count. If the Prime Minister leaves office or the Cabinet is otherwise dissolved or wholly reconstituted before an individual member satisfies the Payout Criterion, all listed individual-member markets resolve to No.
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