Live
Who will have a #1 hit this year? — 2026
Starts:Jan 1, 2026, 3:00 PMEnds:Dec 21, 2026, 5:01 AM
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Total volume
$255.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
116
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mariah Carey Favorite | 95.0%Kalshi | $5.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Morgan Wallen | 32.0%Kalshi | $12.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Beyoncé | 30.0%Kalshi | $7.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kendrick Lamar | 22.0%Kalshi | $3.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sabrina Carpenter | 22.0%Kalshi | $3.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Post Malone | 17.0%Kalshi | $9.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tate McRae | 18.0%Kalshi | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Olivia Dean | 15.0%Kalshi | $9.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Billie Eilish | 14.0%Kalshi | $3.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Don Toliver | 14.0%Kalshi | $9.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
SZA | 13.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
KAROL G | 14.0%Kalshi | $7.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Chappell Roan | 15.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Justin Bieber | 12.0%Kalshi | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lady Gaga | 13.0%Kalshi | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Future | 12.0%Kalshi | $13.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tame Impala | 12.0%Kalshi | $440 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
The Weeknd | 11.0%Kalshi | $10.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Travis Scott | 9.0%Kalshi | $3.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Megan Thee Stallion | 10.0%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
PinkPantheress | 9.0%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Frank Ocean | 8.0%Kalshi | $2.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
SIENNA SPIRO | 8.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Luke Combs | 8.0%Kalshi | $4.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Young Thug | 9.0%Kalshi | $1.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lil Uzi Vert | 9.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Dua Lipa | 8.0%Kalshi | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
KATSEYE | 8.0%Kalshi | $4.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
sombr | 7.0%Kalshi | $720 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Zach Bryan | 8.0%Kalshi | $7.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nicki Minaj | 7.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Zara Larsson | 7.0%Kalshi | $4.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tyler, The Creator | 7.0%Kalshi | $3.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ed Sheeran | 7.0%Kalshi | $2.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Benson Boone | 6.0%Kalshi | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lil Wayne | 7.0%Kalshi | $5.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lana Del Rey | 6.0%Kalshi | $1.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alex Warren | 7.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Doechii | 6.0%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kanye West / Ye | 7.0%Kalshi | $22.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Chris Brown | 6.0%Kalshi | $2.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
J Balvin | 6.0%Kalshi | $538 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Gracie Abrams | 6.0%Kalshi | $5.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Shawn Mendes | 6.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Shaboozey | 5.0%Kalshi | $972 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
mgk | 5.0%Kalshi | $1.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
David Guetta | 6.0%Kalshi | $490 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Leon Thomas | 6.0%Kalshi | $740 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Charli xcx | 6.0%Kalshi | $8.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Rihanna | 5.0%Kalshi | $3.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Eminem | 5.0%Kalshi | $199 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lil Baby | 5.0%Kalshi | $631 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Joji | 5.0%Kalshi | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ice Spice | 5.0%Kalshi | $503 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Addison Rae | 5.0%Kalshi | $382 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Coldplay | 5.0%Kalshi | $535 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tyla | 4.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
J. Cole | 4.0%Kalshi | $14.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Doja Cat | 5.0%Kalshi | $2.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Calvin Harris | 4.0%Kalshi | $782 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Stray Kids | 4.0%Kalshi | $2.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Khalid | 4.0%Kalshi | $825 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
USHER | 4.0%Kalshi | $223 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fred again.. | 4.0%Kalshi | $447 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Anuel AA | 5.0%Kalshi | $182 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Charlie Puth | 4.0%Kalshi | $1.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Geese | 5.0%Kalshi | $884 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Clairo | 5.0%Kalshi | $460 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
BLACKPINK | 4.0%Kalshi | $2.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
The Kid LAROI | 4.0%Kalshi | $184 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Quavo | 4.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sia | 4.0%Kalshi | $2.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sam Smith | 4.0%Kalshi | $527 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
EsDeeKid | 4.0%Kalshi | $451 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Lewis Capaldi | 3.0%Kalshi | $426 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kali Uchis | 3.0%Kalshi | $154 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Linkin Park | 3.0%Kalshi | $643 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
YoungBoy Never Broke Again | 3.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ozuna | 3.0%Kalshi | $125 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tyga | 3.0%Kalshi | $125 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Logic | 3.0%Kalshi | $100 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
NF | 3.0%Kalshi | $293 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Grimes | 3.0%Kalshi | $158 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
The Marías | 2.0%Kalshi | $291 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swae Lee | 2.0%Kalshi | $1.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Fall Out Boy | 2.0%Kalshi | $305 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Mariah CareyFavorite
95.0%Best · Kalshi$5.5K
Morgan Wallen
32.0%Best · Kalshi$12.1K
Beyoncé
30.0%Best · Kalshi$7.6K
Kendrick Lamar
22.0%Best · Kalshi$3.8K
Sabrina Carpenter
22.0%Best · Kalshi$3.7K
Post Malone
17.0%Best · Kalshi$9.7K
Tate McRae
18.0%Best · Kalshi$2.9K
Olivia Dean
15.0%Best · Kalshi$9.9K
Billie Eilish
14.0%Best · Kalshi$3.4K
Don Toliver
14.0%Best · Kalshi$9.2K
SZA
13.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K
KAROL G
14.0%Best · Kalshi$7.0K
Chappell Roan
15.0%Best · Kalshi$1.2K
Justin Bieber
12.0%Best · Kalshi$2.1K
Lady Gaga
13.0%Best · Kalshi$2.1K
Future
12.0%Best · Kalshi$13.5K
Tame Impala
12.0%Best · Kalshi$440
The Weeknd
11.0%Best · Kalshi$10.7K
Travis Scott
9.0%Best · Kalshi$3.2K
Megan Thee Stallion
10.0%Best · Kalshi$1.8K
PinkPantheress
9.0%Best · Kalshi$1.8K
Frank Ocean
8.0%Best · Kalshi$2.0K
SIENNA SPIRO
8.0%Best · Kalshi$1.4K
Luke Combs
8.0%Best · Kalshi$4.4K
Young Thug
9.0%Best · Kalshi$1.7K
Lil Uzi Vert
9.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K
Dua Lipa
8.0%Best · Kalshi$2.9K
KATSEYE
8.0%Best · Kalshi$4.0K
sombr
7.0%Best · Kalshi$720
Zach Bryan
8.0%Best · Kalshi$7.8K
Nicki Minaj
7.0%Best · Kalshi$1.2K
Zara Larsson
7.0%Best · Kalshi$4.9K
Tyler, The Creator
7.0%Best · Kalshi$3.8K
Ed Sheeran
7.0%Best · Kalshi$2.2K
Benson Boone
6.0%Best · Kalshi$2.1K
Lil Wayne
7.0%Best · Kalshi$5.2K
Lana Del Rey
6.0%Best · Kalshi$1.7K
Alex Warren
7.0%Best · Kalshi$1.4K
Doechii
6.0%Best · Kalshi$1.8K
Kanye West / Ye
7.0%Best · Kalshi$22.9K
Chris Brown
6.0%Best · Kalshi$2.7K
J Balvin
6.0%Best · Kalshi$538
Gracie Abrams
6.0%Best · Kalshi$5.8K
Shawn Mendes
6.0%Best · Kalshi$1.4K
Shaboozey
5.0%Best · Kalshi$972
mgk
5.0%Best · Kalshi$1.7K
David Guetta
6.0%Best · Kalshi$490
Leon Thomas
6.0%Best · Kalshi$740
Charli xcx
6.0%Best · Kalshi$8.4K
Rihanna
5.0%Best · Kalshi$3.2K
Eminem
5.0%Best · Kalshi$199
Lil Baby
5.0%Best · Kalshi$631
Joji
5.0%Best · Kalshi$2.1K
Ice Spice
5.0%Best · Kalshi$503
Addison Rae
5.0%Best · Kalshi$382
Coldplay
5.0%Best · Kalshi$535
Tyla
4.0%Best · Kalshi$1.4K
J. Cole
4.0%Best · Kalshi$14.7K
Doja Cat
5.0%Best · Kalshi$2.4K
Calvin Harris
4.0%Best · Kalshi$782
Stray Kids
4.0%Best · Kalshi$2.3K
Khalid
4.0%Best · Kalshi$825
USHER
4.0%Best · Kalshi$223
Fred again..
4.0%Best · Kalshi$447
Anuel AA
5.0%Best · Kalshi$182
Charlie Puth
4.0%Best · Kalshi$1.1K
Geese
5.0%Best · Kalshi$884
Clairo
5.0%Best · Kalshi$460
BLACKPINK
4.0%Best · Kalshi$2.0K
The Kid LAROI
4.0%Best · Kalshi$184
Quavo
4.0%Best · Kalshi$100
Sia
4.0%Best · Kalshi$2.0K
Sam Smith
4.0%Best · Kalshi$527
EsDeeKid
4.0%Best · Kalshi$451
Lewis Capaldi
3.0%Best · Kalshi$426
Kali Uchis
3.0%Best · Kalshi$154
Linkin Park
3.0%Best · Kalshi$643
YoungBoy Never Broke Again
3.0%Best · Kalshi$1.0K
Ozuna
3.0%Best · Kalshi$125
Tyga
3.0%Best · Kalshi$125
Logic
3.0%Best · Kalshi$100
NF
3.0%Best · Kalshi$293
Grimes
3.0%Best · Kalshi$158
The Marías
2.0%Best · Kalshi$291
Swae Lee
2.0%Best · Kalshi$1.7K
Fall Out Boy
2.0%Best · Kalshi$305
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi. For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.
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