Who will leave the Trump administration before 2028? — Before Jan 1, 2028
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kash Patel No liquidity | — | $1 | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Pete Hegseth No liquidity | — | $1 | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Peter Navarro No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Howard Lutnick No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Scott Bessent No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Jamieson Greer No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Tom Homan No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Marco Rubio No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Lee Zeldin No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Sean Duffy No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Linda McMahon No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Russell Vought No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Stephen Miller No liquidity | — | $1 | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Steve Witkoff No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Mike Huckabee No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Mehmet Oz No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Brendan Carr No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Bill Pulte No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Brooke Rollins No liquidity | — | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not. Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count. If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.
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