Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — During Trump's term
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None before 2027 Favorite | 62.0%Polymarket | $27.0K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pete Hegseth | 8.6%Polymarket | $56.9K | — | — | — | — | ||
Scott Bessent | 4.0%Polymarket | $10.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
Howard Lutnick Widest spread 10.7% | 0.3%Polymarket | $10.7K | — | — | — | — | ||
Susie Wiles | 8.4%Polymarket | $18.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 5.6%Polymarket | $46.4K | — | — | — | — | ||
Markwayne Mullin | 8.0%Kalshi | $21.9K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Mike Waltz | 2.0%Kalshi | $3.4K | — | — | — | — | ||
Brooke Rollins | 2.1%Polymarket | $7.9K | — | — | — | — | ||
Chris Wright | 0.7%Polymarket | $8.2K | — | — | — | — | ||
Doug Burgum | 3.0%Polymarket | $8.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
Linda McMahon | 0.6%Polymarket | $5.5K | — | — | — | — | ||
Doug Collins | 0.7%Polymarket | $5.3K | — | — | — | — | ||
Sean Duffy | 1.1%Polymarket | $5.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
Russell T. Vought | 1.8%Polymarket | $695 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Marco Rubio | 1.0%Kalshi | $7.5K | — | — | — | — | ||
Scott Turner | 1.0%Kalshi | $3.0K | — | — | — | — | ||
Michael Kratsios | 2.0%Kalshi | $3.1K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kelly Loeffler | 0.8%Polymarket | $4.7K | — | — | — | — | ||
Lee Zeldin | 0.2%Polymarket | $3.9K | — | — | — | — | ||
Jamieson Greer | 0.7%Polymarket | $4.1K | — | — | — | — | ||
J.D. Vance | 1.3%Polymarket | $730 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Russell Vought | 1.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | |
John Ratcliffe | 0.5%Polymarket | $5.7K | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If two persons announce they intend to leave at the same time, then the one who leaves first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If multiple persons both announce they intend to leave and leave at the same time as other members, then the one whose last name is alphabetically first will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. A leave of absence does not constitute leaving the position. For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. Acting roles are not included. Leaving office as a result of death is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
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