Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benjamin Netanyahu No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity39.0% | — |
Naftali Bennett No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — |
Yair Lapid No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity2.0% | — |
Gadi Eizenkot No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity4.0% | — |
Benny Gantz No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity6.0% | — |
Avigdor Lieberman No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity6.0% | — |
Yossi Cohen No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity2.0% | — |
Yair Golan No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity6.0% | — |
Itamar Ben Gvir No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity6.0% | — |
Gideon Sa’ar No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — |
Yariv Levin No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity6.0% | — |
Moshe Feiglin No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity2.0% | — |
Ayelet Shaked No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity9.0% | — |
Yoaz Hendel No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — |
Israel Katz No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity3.0% | — |
Nir Barkat No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity4.0% | — |
Amir Ohana No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — |
Gilad Erdan No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — |
Ofer Winter No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity1.0% | — |
Eli Cohen No liquidity | — | — | — | — | — | — | No liquidity3.0% | — |
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Legislative elections were held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the second individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. Extensions of the first individual's mandate will not count as a second mandate. If the first individual is tasked with forming a government again, including via a petition of 61 members of the Knesset, this will not count; only a mandate given to a different individual will count as the second mandate. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no second individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No second mandate”. If the Knesset is dissolved or new elections are called before a second individual is tasked with forming a government, this market will resolve to “No second mandate”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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