Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Italy Favorite | 11.0%Kalshi | $14.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
The Netherlands | 11.0%Kalshi | $6.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
New Zealand | 11.0%Kalshi | $9.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Austria | 9.9%Kalshi | $8.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
USA | 9.9%Kalshi | $6.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Germany | 8.4%Kalshi | $6.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Switzerland | 8.8%Kalshi | $6.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Finland | 8.3%Kalshi | $10.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Japan | 6.9%Kalshi | $14.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Singapore | 7.9%Kalshi | $946 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
South Korea | 7.9%Kalshi | $484 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Panama | 7.0%Kalshi | $6.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Greece | 2.0%Kalshi | $7.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to: - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister The following do **NOT** constitute recognition: - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge. Withdrawal of recognition from a competing entity is not required. Votes in UN bodies do not constitute recognition unless accompanied by bilateral recognition.
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