Live
Who will Trump pardon? — Before Jan 21, 2029
Starts:Nov 18, 2025, 3:00 PMEnds:Jan 21, 2029, 3:00 PM
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Total volume
$431.1K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
52
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jared Kushner Favorite | 65.0%Kalshi | $8.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Donald Trump Jr. | 62.0%Kalshi | $20.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Eric Trump | 59.0%Kalshi | $8.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pete Hegseth | 55.0%Kalshi | $6.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Barron Trump | 53.0%Kalshi | $69.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Donald Trump | 49.0%Kalshi | $62.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Scott Bessent | 47.0%Kalshi | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Keonne Rodriguez | 46.0%Kalshi | $2.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Torence Hatch | 45.0%Kalshi | $9.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Bill Hwang | 44.0%Kalshi | $284 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Susie Wiles | 41.0%Kalshi | $2.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Todd Blanche | 43.0%Kalshi | $3.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Prakazrel Michel | 40.0%Kalshi | $5.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Robin Smith | 40.0%Kalshi | $3.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
JD Vance | 37.0%Kalshi | $4.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Elizabeth Holmes | 40.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Eric Adams | 38.0%Kalshi | $3.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pam Bondi | 38.0%Kalshi | $2.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Steve Bannon | 36.0%Kalshi | $8.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sam Bankman-Fried | 34.0%Kalshi | $17.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ghislaine Maxwell | 34.0%Kalshi | $34.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sean Combs | 33.0%Kalshi | $39.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Tim Leissner | 33.0%Kalshi | $6.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jho Low | 31.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Marco Rubio | 35.0%Kalshi | $5.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Elon Musk | 34.0%Kalshi | $5.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Julian Assange | 33.0%Kalshi | $4.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Edward Snowden | 30.0%Kalshi | $16.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Martin Shkreli | 33.0%Kalshi | $2.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Pete Rose | 32.0%Kalshi | $4.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Larry Householder | 31.0%Kalshi | $9.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Kisean Anderson | 29.0%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Derek Chauvin | 28.0%Kalshi | $6.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Bob Menendez | 27.0%Kalshi | $4.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Do Kwon | 26.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Justin Sun | 26.0%Kalshi | $1.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Joe Giudice | 25.0%Kalshi | $440 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Joseph Maldonado | 22.0%Kalshi | $887 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Matt Borges | 18.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Brian Cole Jr. | 17.0%Kalshi | $6.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Leon Stanton | 19.0%Kalshi | $1.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Safaree Samuels | 17.0%Kalshi | $1.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Daniel Hale | 17.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jeffery Williams | 14.0%Kalshi | $1.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Alex Mashinsky | 13.0%Kalshi | $7.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Ty Garbin | 12.0%Kalshi | $5.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Sebastian Telfair | 14.0%Kalshi | $398 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jose Muyet | 13.0%Kalshi | $1.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
DeAndre Way | 13.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Roger Ver | 10.0%Kalshi | $6.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Hunter Biden | 5.0%Kalshi | $2.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Jared KushnerFavorite
65.0%Best · Kalshi$8.0K
Donald Trump Jr.
62.0%Best · Kalshi$20.7K
Eric Trump
59.0%Best · Kalshi$8.6K
Pete Hegseth
55.0%Best · Kalshi$6.7K
Barron Trump
53.0%Best · Kalshi$69.1K
Donald Trump
49.0%Best · Kalshi$62.8K
Scott Bessent
47.0%Best · Kalshi$4.6K
Keonne Rodriguez
46.0%Best · Kalshi$2.3K
Torence Hatch
45.0%Best · Kalshi$9.6K
Bill Hwang
44.0%Best · Kalshi$284
Susie Wiles
41.0%Best · Kalshi$2.9K
Todd Blanche
43.0%Best · Kalshi$3.4K
Prakazrel Michel
40.0%Best · Kalshi$5.9K
Robin Smith
40.0%Best · Kalshi$3.2K
JD Vance
37.0%Best · Kalshi$4.6K
Elizabeth Holmes
40.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K
Eric Adams
38.0%Best · Kalshi$3.4K
Pam Bondi
38.0%Best · Kalshi$2.6K
Steve Bannon
36.0%Best · Kalshi$8.6K
Sam Bankman-Fried
34.0%Best · Kalshi$17.5K
Ghislaine Maxwell
34.0%Best · Kalshi$34.3K
Sean Combs
33.0%Best · Kalshi$39.1K
Tim Leissner
33.0%Best · Kalshi$6.7K
Jho Low
31.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K
Marco Rubio
35.0%Best · Kalshi$5.0K
Elon Musk
34.0%Best · Kalshi$5.9K
Julian Assange
33.0%Best · Kalshi$4.8K
Edward Snowden
30.0%Best · Kalshi$16.5K
Martin Shkreli
33.0%Best · Kalshi$2.4K
Pete Rose
32.0%Best · Kalshi$4.2K
Larry Householder
31.0%Best · Kalshi$9.3K
Kisean Anderson
29.0%Best · Kalshi$1.8K
Derek Chauvin
28.0%Best · Kalshi$6.7K
Bob Menendez
27.0%Best · Kalshi$4.4K
Do Kwon
26.0%Best · Kalshi$1.2K
Justin Sun
26.0%Best · Kalshi$1.8K
Joe Giudice
25.0%Best · Kalshi$440
Joseph Maldonado
22.0%Best · Kalshi$887
Matt Borges
18.0%Best · Kalshi$1.6K
Brian Cole Jr.
17.0%Best · Kalshi$6.0K
Leon Stanton
19.0%Best · Kalshi$1.6K
Safaree Samuels
17.0%Best · Kalshi$1.0K
Daniel Hale
17.0%Best · Kalshi$1.2K
Jeffery Williams
14.0%Best · Kalshi$1.3K
Alex Mashinsky
13.0%Best · Kalshi$7.6K
Ty Garbin
12.0%Best · Kalshi$5.8K
Sebastian Telfair
14.0%Best · Kalshi$398
Jose Muyet
13.0%Best · Kalshi$1.4K
DeAndre Way
13.0%Best · Kalshi$1.2K
Roger Ver
10.0%Best · Kalshi$6.1K
Hunter Biden
5.0%Best · Kalshi$2.3K
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.
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