Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment? — Before 2026
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Jan 20, 2029 Favorite | 49.0%Kalshi | $2.3K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jan 1, 2028 | 39.0%Kalshi | $5.1K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jan 1, 2027 | 14.0%Kalshi | $95.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Statements must be clear, unambiguous, and current. This includes any of the following: Introducing articles of impeachment (if applicable) Co-sponsoring articles of impeachment (if applicable) Voting for articles of impeachment (if applicable) Clear, unambiguous, and explicit statements supporting impeachment such as "the person supports impeachment of the President" or "the person believes the President should be impeached" Posts on official social media accounts, press releases, or legislative websites expressing that impeachment should proceed. The call for impeachment is still encompassed by the Payout Criterion even if subsequently retracted. The following do NOT qualify: Vague or implicit references that do not clearly advocate for impeachment, such as expressions of concern or dissatisfaction with presidential conduct that do not explicitly mention impeachment Statements criticizing the President's actions or policies, statements of process or neutrality, e.g., "Let's wait for the investigation" or "The House should explore impeachment" without a personal endorsement Statements contingent on future events, such as "If X happens, then I will support impeachment" or "We may need to consider impeachment if more evidence emerges" Statements made prior to Issuance, and "likes" or "retweets" on social media of other individuals calling for impeachment without additional commentary
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