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Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season?
Starts:Aug 13, 2026, 5:30 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
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Total volume
$165.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 93.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 8.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NoFavorite
93.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
8.0%Best · Kalshi
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii. Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i. It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.
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