Will a NYT select poll show Trump below 30% approval?
Markets
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| Outcome | Result | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No | Lost | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes Winner | Won | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If Donald Trump's approval rating on overall job performance during Sep 1, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by pollsters meeting the New York Times select-pollster criteria is below 30, then the market resolves to Yes. A single qualifying poll is sufficient. Only polls listed by The New York Times as “select pollsters” qualify. The approval rating will be the national “Approve” figure reported by The Times. Issue-specific, regional, and demographic results do not count.
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