Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 97.7%Polymarket | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 2.7%Polymarket | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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