Will any U.S. state change its name? — Before Jan 1, 2030
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Jan 1, 2029 No liquidity | — | $47 | — | No liquidity3.0% | — | — | — | — |
Before Jan 1, 2030 No liquidity | — | $2 | — | No liquidity7.0% | — | — | — | — |
Before Jan 1, 2028 No liquidity | — | $14 | — | No liquidity7.0% | — | — | — | — |
Before Jan 1, 2027 | 2.0%Kalshi | $899 | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A state formally changes its official name when the change is finally adopted under that state's own law, such as voter approval of a constitutional amendment or enactment of a law, even if it takes effect later. Adding or removing words in the official name (for example, dropping "and Providence Plantations") counts. A newly admitted state counts only if it changes its name after full admission; the name it takes at admission does not. The following do NOT count: A proposal, resolution or amendment that still needs a further vote or signature. A rename made only by the President, the federal government or a private company (for example, an executive order, federal usage or map labels). A governor's order or agency policy that changes only the name used on documents. A nickname, motto, seal or flag.
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