Will Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 be above 24,431 employees?
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| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 87.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 14.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 is above 24,431 employees, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution uses annual average employment in Arizona for NAICS 3344 - Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing, as reported by BLS QCEW. The 24,431-employee baseline is fixed to the published 2025 value at market launch; later revisions do not change the strike. QCEW publishes detailed industries for every state and annual-average files once the full year is available. For reference, the complete 2025 annual QCEW data became available with the fourth-quarter release on June 2, 2026.
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