Will Canada housing starts be above 300,000 units in any release covering 2026?
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 91.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 14.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the total number of Canada housing starts is above 300K in any monthly release covering January 2026 through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The relevant statistic is the headline monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts for Canada, expressed in units, as reported on Trading Economics’ Canada Housing Starts page and sourced from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation. For clarity, the market will use the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate for all areas in Canada, not actual monthly starts, year-to-date starts, the six-month moving average trend, urban-only starts, provincial starts, or the calendar-year total number of starts.
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