Will Dan Bilzerian concede? — the 2026 FL-06 race
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Sep 1, 2026 | — | $8.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Aug 19, 2026 | — | $8.0K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Aug 20, 2026 | — | $10.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
A concession requires the candidate to explicitly acknowledge defeat, loss, or that their opponent has won the race. Qualifying statements include "concede," "congratulate [opponent] on their victory," "accept the results," "will not be [office holder]," or other unambiguous acknowledgments of defeat. Suspending or ending a campaign without acknowledging defeat, conditional statements, or conceding only partial results do not qualify. If a candidate makes a concession statement and then retracts it before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Death or incapacitation resolves the market to the last fair traded price.
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