Will Ed Davey resign as the Liberal Democrats leader before Jan 1, 2027?
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 97.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 7.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If Ed Davey of the Liberal Democrats has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership. An announcement that the leader will leave within the next year counts even before it takes effect. This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership. Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify. The market is about party leadership positions, not government positions - a leader can resign from government while remaining party leader or vice versa.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.