Will GameStop acquire eBay?

This market asks whether GameStop will acquire eBay by the end of 2026. According to Polymarket's resolution criteria, a "Yes" outcome requires an official announcement that GameStop is acquiring, merging with, or has obtained a controlling interest (typically more than 50%) in eBay before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Partial sales qualify only if they result in a controlling stake, and the announcement itself counts even if the deal closes later. Otherwise, the market resolves "No." The consensus view across platforms is heavily skewed toward "No," which sits at 92.5%, while "Yes" carries just 7.5%. On Polymarket, where nearly all of the $2.8 million in volume is concentrated, "No" trades at 92.5% and "Yes" at 7.0%. Gemini shows a very similar picture at 92.0% for "No" and 8.0% for "Yes," though with only about $4,800 in volume there. The favourite is "No" by an 85-point margin, indicating traders view a GameStop-eBay tie-up as highly improbable within the remaining window. Cross-platform pricing is essentially flat, with a 0.0-point spread on the canonical outcome, so there is no meaningful disagreement between Polymarket and Gemini on how to price this event.