Will Graham Platner drop out? — Before Jul 14, 2026
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
November 2 | Lost | $807.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
July 9 | Lost | $56.4K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
July 12 | Lost | $1.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
July 31 | Lost | $247.8K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jul 14, 2026 Winner | Won | $5.5M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jul 10, 2026 | Lost | $785.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jul 9, 2026 | Lost | $2.4M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jul 13, 2026 | Lost | $144.9K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jul 12, 2026 | Lost | $128.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
July 11 | Lost | $922 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
July 13 | Lost | $701 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jul 11, 2026 | Lost | $631.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
July 10 | Lost | $87.5K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
July 17 | Lost | $418.7K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
July 8 | Lost | $235.6K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. “Dropped out” means any of the following: Graham Platner announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Graham Platner files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Graham Platner publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Graham Platner endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Graham Platner is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless Graham Platner explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
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