BETCRYPTO
LiveAwaiting result

Will Israel Katz leave Minister of Defense of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?

Starts:Jan 1, 2026Ends:Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Awaiting resultThe game looks finished. Trading is paused until the result settles; open positions close automatically at the outcome.
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$4.4K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

NoFavorite
70.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
39.0%Best · Kalshi

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If Israel Katz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Minister of Defense of Israel or has actually left as Minister of Defense of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes. "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Death does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion for this Contract. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.

Discussion (0)

Log in to join the discussion.

No comments yet — start the discussion.

Category

Politics
World