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Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned? — Pardon timeline

Starts:Oct 9, 2026, 12:00 AMEnds:Mar 1, 2027, 5:00 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$2.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

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Before Mar 1, 2027Favorite
82.0%Best · Kalshi$2.5K

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

A pardon, commutation or amnesty granted by a competent Brazilian authority counts, including a decree or law that covers him without naming him, even if a court later suspends or annuls it. A court ruling that overturns or reduces his conviction or sentence, a law that only reduces penalties or changes sentence-progression rules for a class of convicts, and a change of custody such as house arrest do not count.

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Category

Politics

Tags

generalPoliticsBrazilInternationalJairBolsonaropardonedpardontimeline
countryBR