Will James Fishback announce a run for public office? — Before Jul 1, 2027
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Jul 1, 2027 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity45.0% | — | — | — | — |
Before Jan 1, 2027 No liquidity | — | $1 | — | — | No liquidity29.0% | — | — | — | — |
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The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any government office in any election year.
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