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Will Manhattan’s overall office vacancy rate for Q4 2026 be below 18.0%?
Starts:Aug 18, 2026, 6:00 PMEnds:Jan 31, 2027, 2:59 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$1.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes Favorite | 55.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
No | 46.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
YesFavorite
55.0%Best · Kalshi
No
46.0%Best · Kalshi
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If Cushman & Wakefield reports that Manhattan’s overall office vacancy rate for Q4 2026 is below 18.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Manhattan overall vacancy rate reported in Cushman & Wakefield’s Q4 2026 Manhattan Office MarketBeat, covering the overall Manhattan office market. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. For reference, the same metric was 21.1% in Q4 2025, 19.9% in Q1 2026, and 19.3% in Q2 2026.
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