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Will Netanyahu and Eisenkot form a unity government? — Israeli government formation

Starts:Nov 2, 2026, 7:00 AMEnds:Jul 1, 2027, 3:59 AM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.4% (3,430)
Total volume
$153
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

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Before Jul 1, 2027No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity27.0%
Before Feb 1, 2027No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity18.0%

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

The President tasking a candidate with forming a government, any extension of that mandate, a signed coalition agreement, an announced agreement in principle between parties, an announcement or scheduling of a confidence vote, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify. Neither does the swearing-in of individual ministers before the Knesset has voted. For purposes of this market, only the Knesset's approval, in a vote of confidence, of a new government that includes both Likud and Yashar qualifies. A party is considered to be part of a government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in that government. Outside support for a government, including a confidence and supply arrangement, does NOT make a party part of that government. A Knesset vote approving the appointment of additional ministers to an existing or outgoing government does NOT qualify.

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Category

Politics