Will North Dakota ban cloud seeding?
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| Outcome | Best | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 93.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 11.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If legislation making cloud seeding for hail suppression or rain enhancement unlawful throughout the state, whether by outright prohibition or by repeal of the authority to permit it, and not merely defunding or restricting it is enacted in North Dakota before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges. Note: This event was issued before the September 14, 2026 amendment to the LAW Contract, so that amendment does not apply. To be clear, a law must take legal effect before this event’s deadline; a law enacted before the deadline whose effective date falls on or after it does not satisfy the Payout Criterion.
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