Will PA legalize recreational marijuana before 2028?
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| Outcome | Best | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes No liquidity | — | — | No liquidity54.0% | — | — | — | — |
No No liquidity | — | — | No liquidity46.0% | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If legislation legalizing recreational marijuana is enacted in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges. For this market, legislation legalizing recreational marijuana means legislation that makes the possession or sale of marijuana by or to adults for non-medical use lawful under Pennsylvania law. Legislation that only decriminalizes marijuana, expands medical marijuana, regulates hemp-derived THC products, or creates a cannabis regulatory board without making non-medical adult use lawful does NOT qualify.
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