Will satisfaction with wage compensation fall below 52.3% in 2026?
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| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes Favorite | 72.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
No | 38.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If any 2026 NY Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations Labor Market Survey reports that satisfaction with wage compensation at respondents’ current jobs is below 52.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “wage satisfaction” means the NY Fed SCE Labor Market Survey measure for satisfaction with wage compensation at respondents’ current jobs. The March 2026 value of 52.3% will be treated as the existing series low. A value equal to 52.3% will not be sufficient for this market to resolve Yes; the reported value must be strictly below 52.3%.
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