Will SI.gov launch by...?
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| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes Favorite | 89.0%Polymarket | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
No | 41.0%Polymarket | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Polymarket. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government launches an official website at SI.gov between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying change requires SI.gov to be publicly accessible and serving an official U.S. government website. Either a completely new website or the existing AI.gov site moved, redirected, or rebranded to SI.gov will qualify. SI.gov merely redirecting to another existing website (e.g., AI.gov) will not qualify. Placeholder or "coming soon" pages, error pages, and pages that are not publicly accessible will not qualify. Only an actual change to the websites within this market's timeframe will qualify. Announcements of a planned change, including official U.S. government announcements, as well as statements, interviews, social media posts, polls, jokes, or expressions of interest, will not qualify. Temporary redirects, temporary pages, tests, or changes to either website caused by hacks will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AI.gov and SI.gov websites and official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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