Live
Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?
Starts:Oct 19, 2026, 4:23 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$2.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 97.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 11.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — |
NoFavorite
97.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
11.0%Best · Kalshi
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This includes both the United States deciding to terminate TPS designation and the United States allowing TPS designation to lapse or expire. Ukrainian TPS holders keeping their protection after Oct 19, 2026 while a DHS decision is pending, including through an automatic extension under 8 U.S.C. 1254a(b)(3)(C), does not count as TPS ending.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.