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Will the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury spread be above 1.00% between Issuance and December 31, 2026?
Starts:Dec 31, 2026Ends:Dec 31, 2026, 9:59 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$2.6K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 99.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 9.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NoFavorite
99.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
9.0%Best · Kalshi
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.
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