Live
Will the carried interest loophole be closed? — legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests)
Starts:May 14, 2026, 8:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2030, 3:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$312
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
4
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Jan 1, 2030 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity55.0% | — | — | — | — |
Before Jan 1, 2029 No liquidity | — | — | — | — | No liquidity30.0% | — | — | — | — |
Before Jan 1, 2028 No liquidity | — | $310 | — | — | No liquidity22.0% | — | — | — | — |
Before Jan 1, 2027 No liquidity | — | $2 | — | — | No liquidity7.0% | — | — | — | — |
Before Jan 1, 2030No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity55.0%
Before Jan 1, 2029No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity30.0%
Before Jan 1, 2028No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity22.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity7.0%
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
To qualify, the legislation must mandate that carried interest be taxed at a rate equal to or greater than ordinary income rates. The legislation will trigger a Yes resolution even if this change only applies to taxpayers above a certain income threshold (e.g., individuals earning over $400,000). Minor adjustments to the required holding period (e.g., extending the current 3-year rule under Section 1061) will not suffice for a Yes resolution.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.