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Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?

Starts:Jan 6, 2026, 3:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Markets favorite hit rate90.4% (3,109)
Total volume
$661.8K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

NoFavorite
98.8%Best · Kalshi
Yes
3.0%Best · Kalshi

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included. The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

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