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Will the House pass a bill expanding the Supreme Court?

Starts:Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 AMEnds:Jan 1, 2028, 5:00 AM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.4% (3,430)
Total volume
$200
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

NoFavorite
88.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
12.0%Best · Kalshi

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If a bill expanding the Supreme Court has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying bill is legislation that would increase the number of Justices of the Supreme Court above nine. Only Justices who hear the Court's appellate cases count, so a term-limits or staggered-appointment bill qualifies if it would at any time have more than nine Justices hearing the Court's appellate cases; Justices in senior status, or who hear only original-jurisdiction cases, do not count. Legislation that changes only the Court's jurisdiction, procedures, ethics rules or term limits, adds seats to lower courts, or proposes a constitutional amendment fixing the Court's size does NOT qualify. The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying increase. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.

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Category

Politics