Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar? — Before Jul 1, 2027
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Jul 1, 2027 Favorite | 38.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Jan 1, 2027 | 12.0%Kalshi | $2.1K | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Dec 1, 2026 | 6.0%Kalshi | $1.2K | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded, including a motion to table, refer, or postpone that is agreed to by voice vote Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, including any vote of the House Committee on Ethics Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, including a ruling on whether a resolution is privileged, and any vote on an appeal of such a ruling Deemed passage without an actual vote A Member giving notice of intent to offer, reading, or introducing a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar A vote on adjourning or recessing, or on any special rule or other measure that does not specifically refer to a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar A vote on an amendment to a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar A vote on a resolution that only censures or reprimands Ilhan Omar, removes her from committee assignments, or authorizes or directs an Ethics Committee inquiry or investigation of her A vote on whether to administer the oath of office to, or to seat, Ilhan Omar For clarity, each of the following DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion, regardless of the outcome of the vote: A vote on adopting a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar A vote on a motion to table, refer, or postpone a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar A vote on whether the House will consider a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar, or on ordering the previous question on it A vote on a special rule that specifically refers to a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar, including ordering the previous question on that rule, whether the rule provides for the resolution's consideration, lays it on the table, refers it, or delays or waives the time for its consideration
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