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Will the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before November 3, 2026?
Starts:Apr 13, 2026, 6:00 PMEnds:Nov 3, 2026, 2:59 PM
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Total volume
$7.8K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 96.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 10.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NoFavorite
96.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
10.0%Best · Kalshi
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If all four of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick leave the U.S. House of Representatives (based on actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE) before November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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