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Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Tamer S. Wassily in Wassily v. Blanche

Starts:Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AMEnds:Aug 1, 2028, 2:00 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$223
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

NoFavorite
74.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
35.0%Best · Kalshi

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If the Supreme Court, in Wassily v. Blanche, rules termination of a noncitizen’s asylum does not categorically bar that person from seeking adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), then the market resolves to Yes. The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that noncitizens who were granted asylum, but whose asylum was later terminated, are not categorically ineligible for adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that such noncitizens are categorically ineligible. If the Court dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, dismisses the case, remands without resolving this question, or otherwise disposes of the case without a merits ruling on this issue, the market resolves to No.

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Category

Politics

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