Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
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Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 93.1%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | ||
Yes Widest spread 2.3% | 4.6%Polymarket | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran. Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.
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