Live
Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2026?
Starts:Dec 31, 2026Ends:Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$1.9K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 99.9%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 2.9%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NoFavorite
99.9%Best · Kalshi
Yes
2.9%Best · Kalshi
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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