Live
Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2028?
Starts:Aug 19, 2026, 10:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2029, 4:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$4.0K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 98.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 10.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NoFavorite
98.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
10.0%Best · Kalshi
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Discussion (0)
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet — start the discussion.