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Will there be a successful vote of no confidence in France in 2026?
Starts:Oct 21, 2026, 8:05 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$844
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Best | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Favorite | 74.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — | |
Yes | 30.0%Kalshi | — | — | — | — | — |
NoFavorite
74.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
30.0%Best · Kalshi
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If there is a successful vote of no confidence in the French parliament before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A motion of censure counts only if the Assemblée nationale adopts it. A government-initiated confidence vote counts only if the Assemblée refuses to grant confidence; a confidence vote that the Government wins does not count.
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