Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
Markets
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| Outcome | Best | Volume | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Jan 1, 2027 | — | $68.2K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Before Aug 1, 2026 Eliminated | — | $59.6K | — | — | Eliminated$59.6K | — | — | — | — |
Before May 1, 2026 No liquidity | — | $10.7K | — | — | No liquidity0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Dimmed prices were last confirmed too long ago for the state of this event (in play, before the game, or long-dated) and are left out of consensus, best price and spread.
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement. Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement. A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient. If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
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