Will US business applications be above 546,719 in any 2026 month?
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| Outcome | Result | Azuro | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes Winner | Won | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
No | Lost | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the US business applications are above 546,719 in any month during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “U.S. business applications” refers to Business Applications: Total for All NAICS in the United States, FRED series BABATOTALSAUS. This series is reported monthly, seasonally adjusted, and sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Business Formation Statistics. This market will use the first value published by Federal Reserve Economic Data for each relevant month. Revisions released after the first publication of a monthly value will not be considered.
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