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Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?

Starts:Mar 4, 2027Ends:Mar 4, 2027, 1:59 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$52.5K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

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YesFavorite
53.0%Best · Kalshi
No
51.0%Best · Kalshi

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first non-preliminary release for each quarter will be considered. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

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generalEconomicsJobs & Economynonfarmproductivityquarterabove