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Will Venezuela exit OPEC?

Starts:Sep 3, 2026, 10:00 PMEnds:Jan 1, 2028, 4:59 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (1,754)
Total volume
$2
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
3
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Before Jan 1, 2028No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity43.0%
Before Jul 1, 2027No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity28.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027No liquidity
KalshiNo liquidity15.0%

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

An announcement qualifies even if Venezuela's withdrawal will take effect later. Consideration, negotiations, a conditional proposal, an anonymous or leaked report, an opposition statement, or an OPEC+ policy change without an OPEC withdrawal does NOT qualify. An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal signing of treaties, accords, or binding agreements Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions or expressions of interest without commitment Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents not confirmed by government sources Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions Retraction of previously announced commitments

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Category

Politics