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Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?

Starts:Dec 10, 2026Ends:Dec 10, 2026, 1:29 PM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Markets favorite hit rate90.4% (3,109)
Total volume
$41.3K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

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NoFavorite
98.0%Best · Kalshi
Yes
8.0%Best · Kalshi

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. This market covers only CPI releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the CPI release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data. The last covered CPI release is the November 2026 CPI release, scheduled for Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET.

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Category

Markets

Tags

generalEconomicsInflationyear-over-yearcorefallbelow