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Settled

Wolves Esports vs Bilibili Gaming

Starts:Jul 11, 2026, 11:00 AMEnds:Jul 12, 2026, 11:45 AM
AZRGMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:Bilibili GamingSettled Jul 11, 2026
Sports favorite hit rate72.3% (140,236)
Total volume
$327.4K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
3
Markets
5

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

Bilibili GamingWinner
99.0%Best · Kalshi$153.3K
LimitlessNo liquidity50.0%PolymarketNo liquidity99.9%
Wolves EsportsEliminated
1.0%Best · Kalshi$183.9K
PolymarketEliminated

AI-generated summary, may be inaccurate.

The markets cover a Valorant BO3 between Wolves Esports and Bilibili Gaming in VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega, scheduled for July 11. Alongside the headline match-winner line, Polymarket and Kalshi also list map-by-map winners and various map-total over/under props. A "Bilibili Gaming" resolution requires BLG to win the series; the mirrored Wolves line resolves inversely. On the primary match-winner market, Bilibili Gaming is the favourite at a consensus 65.0%, with Kalshi pricing them at 65.0% and Limitless at 65.5% — a tight 0.5-point cross-platform spread. Wolves Esports sits at 37.0% consensus, trading slightly cheaper on Limitless (34.5%) than on Kalshi (37.0%), a 2.5-point gap that reflects Limitless's thinner liquidity rather than a strong directional disagreement. Polymarket, which holds the bulk of the $3,982 total volume, prices individual map and round-total legs but its aggregate implied series edge lines up with the BLG-favoured view seen elsewhere. The roughly 30-point gap between the two sides signals a clear but not overwhelming lean toward BLG, consistent with their stronger domestic form heading into the group stage. Map 1 and Map 2 sub-markets on Kalshi echo the series read, with BLG around 62.0% on each individual map. Across all four venues, pricing is unusually coherent for an esports market of this size — BLG is the consensus pick, and the only meaningful edge sits in the low-liquidity Wolves line on Limitless.

Updated Jul 11, 2026, 12:33 AMclaude-opus-4-7cross-platform favourite flipped

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Category

Sports
Esports