World Cup: Golden Glove Winner

The Golden Glove market at the 2026 FIFA World Cup resolves to the goalkeeper named by FIFA as the tournament's best, with the field narrowing as the knockouts progress. Prediction markets currently anchor on France's Mike Maignan, whose side is 5-0 so far in the tournament, with Spain's Unai Simón and England's Jordan Pickford filling out the top three. Polymarket, which carries essentially all the liquidity at roughly $85K in volume, prices Maignan at 21.5%, Unai Simón at 39.5%, Pickford at 10.6%, Ørjan Nyland at 6.1% and Emiliano Martínez at 4.7%. Limitless, on very thin volume, has Maignan at 50.0% and Unai Simón at 40.0% — producing an eye-catching 28.5-point spread on the France keeper that almost certainly reflects Limitless's shallow book rather than a genuine disagreement. On the consensus view Maignan is nominal favourite at 50.0%, but Polymarket's deeper market actually makes Unai Simón the traded favourite, with Maignan running second. Recent form supports both leaders: Maignan has nine saves and just two goals conceded across five games, while Unai Simón is yet to concede in four matches, though a robust Spanish defence has limited him to six saves. Pickford's stock has risen sharply after three key saves in England's 3-2 win over Mexico, with sportsbooks moving him from +1400 to +700. The cross-platform takeaway: strip out Limitless's low-liquidity quotes and Polymarket's order book points to a genuine two-horse race between Unai Simón and Maignan.