World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

The "World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?" market asks whether the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup will lift the trophy without dropping a single match at any stage of the tournament. A "Yes" resolution requires the eventual champion to avoid any loss across group and knockout play, while "No" covers every other outcome, including cancellation, postponement past August 2, 2026, or the absence of a confirmed unbeaten winner. FIFA is the primary resolution source, with credible reporting as a fallback. Pricing diverges sharply between the two venues carrying the market. On Polymarket, where nearly all of the $385,620 in volume sits, "Yes" trades at 94.2% and "No" at 5.9%. Limitless, which has posted only $402 in volume, shows both sides essentially at coin-flip levels: "Yes" at 50.0% and "No" at 50.1%. The consensus favourite is "Yes" at 94.2%, roughly 88 points ahead of "No". The cross-platform spread is unusually wide, at about 44 points on each side, but Limitless's near-50/50 quotes appear to reflect an inactive or unbalanced book rather than a competing view, given its negligible volume against Polymarket's deeper market.